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19.03.2025 11:16 AM
USD/CAD:分析與預測
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USD/CAD匯率連續第二天顯示出復甦跡象,此前曾經下跌,從接近1.4260的兩週低點反彈。即時匯價已經攀升至1.4300的整數關口之上,但進一步的上行空間仍然有限,因為交易員正在等待FOMC會議。

市場預期顯示,美聯儲可能會將利率維持在4.25% - 4.50%之間不變。因此,投資者將關注更新的經濟預測和美聯儲主席傑羅姆·鮑威爾的評論,這可能會提供關於未來貨幣政策走向的線索。這反過來將對美元的走向產生重大影響,從而影響到USD/CAD。

加元的地位同樣值得注意。最近油價的回落對加元施加了一些壓力,因其與商品市場密切相關。然而,中東地區進一步地緣政治升級的風險可能會限制油價的下跌,從而對加元提供一定支撐。

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此外,加拿大二月份年通脹率意外上升至2.6%,可能會阻止交易者對加元採取激進的看空立場,這進一步限制了USD/CAD的上行潛力。

從技術面來看,即時匯價保持在100天簡單移動平均線(SMA)之上,建議在確認上週下跌延續之前需謹慎。此外,日線圖上的混合振盪指標未能完全確認看跌前景,因其漸漸嘗試轉向正面領域。

USD/CAD的最近阻力位於50天SMA附近,約1.4350。如果該貨幣對成功突破此水平,可能會進一步升至1.4400的整數關口。

另一方面,支撐位於1.4300整數關口之下,靠近昨日低點1.4260。除此之外,下一個重要支撐位是100天SMA和1.4200的心理關口。

總體來看,目前的市場情況需要密切關注經濟數據和政治發展。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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