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28.03.2025 12:16 PM
AUD/USD:分析與預測
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AUD/USD匯率組合繼續在熟悉的區間內橫向整理,停留在一個接近0.6300的重要心理水平的範圍內。這一走勢主要受到多項影響全球市場情緒的因素驅動。

美國總統唐納·川普(Donald Trump)最近宣布對進口汽車和輕型卡車徵收新關稅,對市場造成負面影響。預期於下週生效的報復性關稅也加劇了投資者的不確定性,因為這些措施影響全球經濟。同時,美國美元的溫和上漲被視為澳元增長的限制性因素。

然而,美元的日內強勢並未激發太多樂觀情緒。由於市場擔心特朗普激進貿易政策的潛在經濟後果,目前市場已經消化了聯邦儲備在6月將借貸成本降低25個基點的65%概率。這抑制了激進的美元買盤活動。

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此外,中國推出刺激措施的新希望幫助限制了澳元的損失。

今天,為了獲取更多交易機會,需關注美國PCE——個人消費支出價格指數的發布。這一數據將影響美聯儲對未來貨幣政策的決定,從而對美元的需求產生重大影響,並可能為AUD/USD組合提供新的動力。

從技術角度看,該組合需要突破0.6300的整數位,以鋪平進一步上漲的道路。相對強弱指數(RSI)尚未進入正區間。然而,日線圖上的震盪指標仍然表現不一,因此在北美交易時段關鍵的美國經濟數據公佈之前,可能明智的做法是等待再進入新的買入或賣出倉位。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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