Forex Analysis & Reviews: 21.01.2025

21.01.2025 10:31 AM

Trump evades cryptocurrencies in his inaugural speech

The cryptocurrency market experienced a notable correction following Donald Trump's inauguration yesterday. Whether the new president intentionally avoided mentioning blockchain technologies in his inaugural address is an intriguing question. Nevertheless, his investment fund, World Liberty Financial, continued actively acquiring various cryptocurrency assets.

Ethereum (ETH) is the largest token by weight in the portfolio of the Trump family's crypto project, World Liberty Financial, accounting for 58% of the total assets. According to leading crypto industry analysts, apart from BTC, Trump's project is also actively purchasing LINK, AAVE, and ONDO, making these altcoins worth closer attention.

Additionally, the likelihood of creating a BTC reserve in the US by 2025 has surged sharply on the Kalshi platform, where participants currently estimate the probability at 62%. Similar expectations were noted earlier on Polymarket. Currently, bills proposing the creation of a strategic BTC reserve have been introduced in 10 US states.

Previously, widespread speculation suggested that Trump would announce plans to establish a strategic crypto reserve during his inaugural speech on January 20. However, as noted above, this did not happen. A bill proposing the creation of a BTC reserve has already been submitted to Congress for a vote, and its approval could become a major trigger for cryptocurrency market growth.

Strategic BTC reserve: potential game-changer

The increased discussion surrounding crypto reserves and the government's support for such initiatives could dramatically alter the investment landscape. Introducing the BTC reserve legislation could not only boost confidence in cryptocurrencies but also open new opportunities for their integration into the national financial system.

If the bill is passed, it may attract substantial capital inflows into the market, leading to more stable and predictable conditions for traders and investors. Furthermore, establishing a strategic reserve could play a crucial role in developing new standards and regulatory norms for the crypto industry.

Successful implementation of these legislative initiatives could lead to the creation of effective management mechanisms, ensuring clear oversight of digital currency circulation. This would address concerns regarding the market's volatility and uncertainty.

Technical analysis: Bitcoin

Bitcoin (BTC) repeatedly tested the $103,200 level today. Breaking through this threshold would pave the way to $104,600, with $105,800 as the next significant target. The ultimate goal in a bullish scenario would be a return to the medium-term uptrend with a peak near $107,000.

In case of a correction, buyers are expected to emerge around $100,900. A drop below this level could quickly push BTC toward $99,400, with subsequent targets at $97,900 and, ultimately, $94,400.

Technical analysis: Ethereum

For Ethereum (ETH), consolidation above $3,264 would open the path to $3,332, followed by $3,424. The ultimate bullish target would be the yearly high near $3,480, signaling a return to the medium-term uptrend.

In case of a correction, buyers are anticipated around $3,196. Falling below this area could pull ETH down to $3,123, with further potential declines to $3,056 and, ultimately, $2,999.

You have already liked this post today

*Disclaimer: The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.