Analisis Forex & Kajian: 07.03.2025 - Donald Trump explains...

07.03.2025 12:12 PM

Donald Trump explains decline in stock market

There will be no lifeline. The S&P 500 continues to send distress signals, but Donald Trump is not paying attention or at least pretends not to. In one of his speeches, the US president stated that he did not care about what was happening in the American stock market because, in the long run, the economy would strengthen, so investors had nothing to worry about. On another occasion, the Republican claimed that globalists were behind the stock market sell-off, accusing them of being envious of the United States.

US Stock Market Trends

A scapegoat can always be found. For Donald Trump, it is once again China. Beijing was blamed for the COVID-19 pandemic, and now it is accused of triggering the US stock market's decline. The story of China's DeepSeek was the catalyst for investors fleeing American tech stocks. It is no surprise that the Magnificent Seven were the first to enter correction territory, followed by the Nasdaq 100. Now, a 10% drop in the S&P 500 from its February highs seems inevitable.

Trump's theory about globalists deserves attention. However, the record highs in stock indexes after the US presidential election were driven by hopes for economic acceleration and the assumption that the White House would act as a safety net for the S&P 500 in case of a steep decline. Neither of these expectations is materializing.

The more economic data comes in, the more concerns grow about the US economy. The disappointing February ADP employment report was followed by bleak trade balance figures. The front-loading of imports ahead of Trump's tariff hikes led to a record US trade deficit in January—34% higher than in December.

US Trade Balance

Net exports may drag down GDP growth, making the Atlanta Fed's forecast of a US economic contraction in the first quarter increasingly realistic. The urge to offload toxic US assets is rising, leaving the S&P 500 with little choice but to fall.

News that the White House exempted some goods from the 25% tariffs under the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) did not provide lasting relief. The exemption covers 50% of imports from Mexico and 38% from Canada. The S&P 500 briefly rebounded but quickly resumed its decline. Without White House support, whether against globalists' alleged manipulations or fears of an approaching recession, the US stock market has little chance of recovery.

Technically, on the S&P 500 daily chart, the Broadening Wedge pattern has been activated based on the Three Indians pattern. Point 5 could be located significantly lower. As long as the broad-market index trades below 5,800, selling remains the preferred strategy.

Anda telah pun menyukai siaran hari ini

* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.

Jika anda mempunyai sebarang soalan berkaitan kandungan, sila hubungi editorial-board@instaforex.com

Fundamental analysis

Marek Petkovich,
Pakar analisis InstaForex
© 2007-2025

Lebih banyak artikel daripada pengarang ini

Langganan E-mel

EURUSD

Euro vs US Dollar

Pilih carta masa

min

jam

hari

minggu

Mulakan dagangan

Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.

Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.

Artikel yang dicadangkan

Pasaran memilih kegemaran yang salah

Apa yang Perlu Diberi Perhatian pada 27 Mac? Sorotan Peristiwa Fundamental untuk Pedagang Baharu

Gambaran Pasangan GBP/USD – 27 Mac: Pound British Terhenti

Gambaran Keseluruhan Pasangan EUR/USD – 27 Mac: Donald Trump Berundur

GBP/USD: Cabaran Sukar Buat Pound

Dolar Akan Melonggarkan Cengkamannya

Donald Trump Kembali Menimbulkan Kekeliruan dengan Kenyataan Tarifnya

XAU/USD. Analisis dan Ramalan

USD/JPY. Analisis dan Ramalan

Nampaknya Sudah Masanya untuk Memberi Tumpuan pada Euro dan Yen (EUR/USD Mungkin Jatuh, USD/JPY Mungkin Naik)

Analisis terbaik